TGIT: The Garbage Election, DJT and Cuban vs. Cahaly 

DJT, Harris vs. Trump, Shapiro vs. Harris, Cuban vs. Cahaly, The Cure, best election bets and much more. First time reading? Join other risk-takers, entrepreneurs, traders, investors, data geeks and alpha types. Sign up for free here.

TGI Thursday and Happy Halloween! The election is four days from now and the race couldn’t be tighter. While it appears the Republicans are likely to take the Senate, the House and the presidency are up for grabs. This issue separates the signals and noise that dominate the national discourse. 

We should prepare for uncertainty because we’re not likely to know the election outcome by this time next week. Whether it be Maricopa County in the swing state of Arizona, ballot counting in Pennsylvania or one of the 165 election lawsuits already filed, we need to strap in for a rough couple of weeks ahead. 

But we can be certain the outcome will leave half of the nation feeling disillusioned and disenfranchised.  

Well folks, we don’t always get our way. Instead of bemoaning the outcome, suck it up and use the next four years to reflect upon how your political tribe managed to spend hundreds of millions of dollars promoting such a deeply flawed candidate. 

And while we’re at it, perhaps we’ll revisit how we engage with each other when we disagree. Podcasters and political provocateurs Sam Harris and Ben Shapiro conduct a two-hour masterclass on rational discourse in this debate between the two presidential proxies posted earlier this week by our friends over at The Free Press.  

In the interim, ignore the futility of the "existential crisis" chorus. The one probability we’re certain of is that America will survive.  

In the meantime, let’s get lucky! 

Editorial Director

Early voting is breaking records, and polling indicates a dead heat in swing states. If the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin holds, it may have the power to decide the outcome. High turnout and slim margins suggest a tense election night and perhaps an extended period of recounts and legal battles reminiscent of the 2000 contest between George W. Bush and Al Gore. Here’s what to look for on election night. Read Full Story

58,390,685
mail-in and early in-person votes have been cast nationally.

— NBC News, 10/31

A record $4.4 billion had been lavished on the presidential campaign by the beginning of October. Harris was well ahead of Trump in spending, but both trailed the outlays of the mysterious money machine created by the Supreme Court’s Citizens United decision. So, where did it all go? Read Full Story

Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) isn’t just a stock. It’s Wall Street’s real-time read on Trump’s 2024 election odds. As Donald Trump's election chances have ebbed and flowed, the stock has been subject to extreme bouts of volatility. And based on recent action in the options market, DJT is poised to make a 50% move during the week of Nov. 4, amplifying the stakes for both Donald Trump, and investors active in the stock. Read Full Story

Entrepreneur Michael Cardman is no stranger to financial markets. He earned his master’s in finance from Georgetown University and now teaches it there and at Virginia Tech. But Cardman credits tastylive with his successful transition from passive investor to active trader. He’s happy to say he notched 160% returns his first year of trading small and often, followed by 80% returns his second year. In this new video, Cardman tells his story and shares his insights.

For more trading inspiration, check out the entire Rising Stars series here. 

What Mark Cuban and Robert Cahaly Have in Common❓

They both agreed to join Dylan Ratigan and professional prediction market super-trader Scott Supak in our election forecasting challenge. See their forecasts (and wagers!) as to who will win the House, each of the swing states, the popular vote and the presidency. Read Full Story

Do Election Night Right 👍🏻

While many of us will be glued to our televisions after the polls close, no one will know the outcome of this election in those early hours. So, here’s an alternative to the cable news grind. Tune in to tastylive’s Election (Un)Special from 7-9 p.m. EST. Trading legends Tom Sosnoff and Tony Battista will host two hours of political fun and an election forecasting contest. The special will feature guests that include the CEOs of political prediction markets Predictit and Kalshi. Watch early returns roll in while getting a handle on how the markets are likely to respond. Watch the special live at tastylive or on tastylive’s YouTube channel. 

Take Out the Trash Talk 🚮

From a standup comic’s insult at Trump’s MSG rally to Biden’s garbage gaffe, there’s been a lot of trash talk in the final days of the presidential campaign. But here’s a Luckbox-tested solution: JLab's GO POP ANC noise-cancelling earbuds. These budget-friendly $30 powerhouses deliver incredible sound, rich bass, crystal-clear calls and peaceful moments—all with 24+ hours of app-supported playtime. These buds, available in teal (pictured), fuschsia or black, have a 4.4 rating on Amazon with more than 50,000 reviews. Had enough of Bezos, too? Buy direct from JLab. 

It Will Make You Feel Like You

Are Fun Again 💊

Your long-awaited cure for ’80s new wave nostalgia has arrived. The English rock band The Cure are back with their first new album in 16 years. It’s titled Songs of a Lost World, and it's a reliable collection of gloomy, dark and cinematic songs. There’s enough power in these tracks to remind you of why the band became a pinnacle of new wave and gothic rock. Read Full Story

More Cowbell

Luckbox readers rant on the election. 
Jeff Bezos explains WaPo’s non-(Harris)-endorsement.

New media is the answer to old media’s “trust” issue. 

Sosnoff and Battista on how to trade the election.  
The top 10 stocks to watch in November. 

What is Ethereum and how is it traded? 

How good is 7’9” hoops player Olivier Rioux?

Attend tastylive’s meetup for traders in Dallas (11.2). 

Share the Luckbox—forward to a friend.
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Now go on, get lucky.

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