TGIT: Five Things We Did This Week (and Other Stories)

Nvidia saves the day (maybe), Gold's permanent luster, an AMD trade, new research on calls and strikes, retail trader survey findings, a new Rising Star, and much more. First time reading? Join other risk-takers, entrepreneurs, traders, investors, data geeks and alpha types. Sign up for free here.

Thank goodness it’s Thursday (2/27). Investors weren’t satisfied when Wall Street's AI golden child delivered earnings that were merely spectacular—not miraculous. Shares in Nvidia barely budged despite profits swelling 80% year-over-year. Perhaps investors just weren’t impressed with $39.3 billion in revenue, its smallest beat in two years. CEO Jensen Huang's "light speed" AI optimism couldn't mask CFO Colette Kress's warnings about Trump's tariffs adding a "big unknown" to the outlook. With China revenue plummeting and Microsoft lobbying to ease chip export restrictions, Nvidia now suffers from the cruel mathematics of bigness—even $43 billion in projected quarterly sales feels oddly disappointing when you've trained the market to expect miracles. 

If that isn’t enough to curb your enthusiasm, this week saw three of the Federal Reserve’s pet canaries gasping for air.  

First, the 10-year Treasury yield has slipped below the three-month note—Wall Street's most reliable recession predictor. This "inverted yield curve" has preceded nearly every economic downturn for decades. Since Trump's inauguration, the 10-year yield has plummeted 32 basis points as investors digest his tariff-laden agenda. While the previous inversion in October 2022 didn't trigger a recession, markets are increasingly pessimistic about Trump's economic promises. 

Second, consumer sentiment reflects growing anxiety—the University of Michigan survey shows five-year inflation expectations at their highest since 1995, while the Conference Board's expectations index has sunk to recession-compatible levels. Traders now anticipate at least a half-point cut in Fed interest rates this year, suggesting the bond market smells "recession in the air." 

Third, unemployment claims surged to 242,000—the highest this year and well beyond Wall Street's rosy projections. The DOGE federal workforce purge has sent claims in Washington, D.C., jumping 26%. Meanwhile, New England states are hemorrhaging jobs, with Massachusetts filings spiking and Rhode Island's more than tripling. The four-week moving average—the number that can't be easily manipulated—rose sharply to 224,000. As Trump's tariffs approach, the labor market resembles a patient with chest pains dismissing the ambulance. 

Which brings us to the five things we did this week. 1) We listened to Jensen Huang’s post earning’s interview (so you wouldn’t have to). 2) We dug deep into the gold market’s persistent luster. 3) We identified a contrarian play on AMD. 4) We crunched the numbers on a Nasdaq-sponsored survey of active retail traders. 5) We profiled a new Rising Star.  

We hope that buys us another week on the payroll.

Stay lucky. 

Editorial Director

In a nation obsessed with celebrity access, Trump and Musk are about to join history's most exclusive VIP list—those permitted inside Fort Knox's legendary gold vault. This concrete, steel and granite fortress houses America's $425 billion golden insurance policy, but has been visited only three times in its 89-year history. Now, these two masters of spectacle claim they'll venture into this highly restricted treasury to "see if the gold is still there." With bullion approaching $3,000 an ounce and whispers of returning to the gold standard, perhaps their theatrical treasure hunt masks a more serious economic gambit. The question isn't what they'll find—but what they're planning. Read Full Story

The Constitution, Bill of Rights, and Declaration of Independence were stored at Fort Knox during WW2.

— U.S. Mint

As Washington slaps punitive tariffs on Chinese electronics and Mexican produce, consumers face higher prices and markets are bracing for volatility. But within this economic tempest lies a trading opportunity that even the most jaded traders can't ignore. Analyst Errol Coleman has identified a critical support level that could signal your next move in the gold market. Read Full Story

As gold flirts with the once-unthinkable $3,000 per ounce milestone, a high-stakes drama is unfolding in the mining sector. Gold Fields (GFI) has rocketed 37% in 2025 alone, outpacing even the impressive 12% surge in physical gold. The South African miner's secret weapon? The Windfall Project—a Canadian goldmine boasting extraordinarily high-grade reserves and production costs well below industry averages. This acquisition could transform Gold Fields' entire portfolio.

Meanwhile, industry heavyweight Newmont (NEM) delivered eye-popping Q4 results with adjusted net income leaping to $1.40 per share from $0.50 a year earlier. But are investors paying for fundamental value, or simply chasing the golden rally? Read Full Story

While the myopic masses scattered like frightened sheep from the Advanced Micro Device (AMD) 50% stock plunge, a golden opportunity is seemingly emerging for traders with functioning neurons. The semiconductor giant's shares have been punished with almost comical severity—trading at $105, less than half their 52-week high—as the perpetually panicked analyst class hyperventilates over Nvidia (NVDA) AI dominance. Yet here's what everyone's missing: AMD's data center revenue just surged 69% year-over-year, and its first insider purchase in a decade suggests the C-suite knows something the market doesn't. The stock now trades below sector-average valuations. Read Full Story

As Nvidia (NVDA) reports another quarter of eye-popping numbers, the question isn't whether it’s winning the AI race—they're practically the only contestant. But with 91% of revenue now flowing from data centers—up from 60% just two years ago—Jensen Huang's chip empire has become a glorified one-trick pony, albeit one that's galloping ahead at breakneck speed.

The company's bet on "AI reasoning" may indeed require more chips, not fewer, despite DeepSeek's efficiency breakthrough causing momentary panic among investors. Yet with Microsoft reportedly cutting its investments in data center and Nvidia's non-AI divisions showing anemic growth, the company's fate hinges entirely on big tech's continued willingness to burn cash on AI infrastructure. Read Full Story

Rising Stars, a popular tastylive series, features people from all walks of life who have cracked the code of generating consistent returns as active investors. In the newest installment, you’ll meet Gary Foster, an engineer-turned-trader who used his options trading experience to make an unexpected entrepreneurial move—buying a catering business despite having no culinary background. Discover how he balances running a successful business with his penchant for consistently serving up solid trading returns. His story and video are here.

The data doesn't lie: Managing positions at 21 days to expiration dramatically reduces your chances of getting burned at strike prices. While academics babble about theoretical probabilities, tastylive analyst Kai Zeng's newest research shows puts consistently outperform their theoretical values. Index options puts touch their strikes far less frequently than calls—a fact option sellers should be tattooing on their trading monitors. Read Full Story

While so-called "trading services" charge thousands for their "secret" strategies, we're giving away the entire damn playbook. For nothing. Zero. Zilch. This isn't some bait-and-switch offer from some market guru—it's more than 30 battle-tested options setups with actual profit targets, visual P&L maps and defensive maneuvers for when trades go sideways.

It's here. It's free. You're welcome.

Lonestar Data Holdings, a St. Petersburg, Florida, startup, is taking the quantum leap of launching the first data center on the freaking moon. Tuesday’s SpaceX mission carried an eight-terabyte lunar data center prototype, potentially revolutionizing how we protect civilization's most precious information. The moon's surface—with no hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, tsunamis or volcanic eruptions—offers unparalleled stability for data storage.

Governments are already lining up to reserve space on this cosmic hard drive, using the lunar loophole to sidestep thorny data sovereignty issues. The ultimate backup plan for humanity? Read Full Story

Bubble-Aware Bulls Have Eyes Wide Open 👁️👁️

The active American retail trader of 2025 emerges as a fascinating contradiction—a predominantly middle-aged, middle-income male who remains bullish on tech stocks despite recognizing potential overvaluation.

A recent tastytrade-Nasdaq survey pulls back the curtain on our market's remarkable dynamics: 59% maintain optimism despite political transition, with the Magnificent Seven tech giants commanding nearly a quarter of all stock purchases. Perhaps most revealing is how young traders approach cryptocurrency—75% actively trade it while over half acknowledge it's likely in bubble territory. This isn't simple naivety but rather a new market philosophy. Read Full Story

More Cowbell

The top 10 stocks to watch in March. 

The DOGE debate rages on: Pros & cons. 

500 tons of gold has literally taken flight.

$5B in Bitcoin options to expire tomorrow.

Rare Earth: Get Ready for the U.S./Ukraine deal. 

Fat Vindicated: Global study points to carbs as culprit. 

A reader responds to our story on Musk’s turnaround at X. 

Are traders misreading the Hong Kong stock market rally? 

Trump team seeks tighter chip controls over China. 

ICYMI: tastylive’s best videos of the week. 

The NFL wants to ban the tush push. 

ICYMI: Last week’s Luckbox TGIT. 

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