TGIT: Boeing Boing, Pineapples and the NFL

Trouble in the Skies, Options, Betting Markets, Tulsi Gabbard, the TSA, Music and more

Thank goodness its Thursday! And, the holiday-inspired gift-trading season seems to be off to a very early start. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was no doubt looking to deflect attention from his questionable recent re-election when he began his weekly television show on Monday by declaring that “This year and to honor you all ... I am going to decree the beginning of Christmas on October 1.”

Then, yesterday, in the spirit of the new holiday season, U.S. Justice Department officials gave themselves a gift by seizing Maduro’s presidential airplane on a runway in Florida.

Venezuela ranks 10th among OPEC oil-producing countries and holds the world’s largest strategic oil reserve. They’re pretty cozy with Russia, China and Iran, too. And, this year, they’ll begin celebrating Christmas on October 1. 

Now let’s get lucky. 

Editorial Director

Boeing, the world’s largest aerospace manufacturer, has suffered failures of every sort: Its planes have fallen out of the sky, its spacecraft is stranded above the atmosphere and its stock price is going nowhere but down. Whistleblowers and analysts alike are pointing fingers. But we see a couple of ways out of all this. Read Full Story

More than 10,000 Boeing-built commercial jetliners are in service worldwide—nearly half the world fleet. Boeing planes carry 90% of the world’s air cargo.

— The Boeing Company

Despite Boeing’s seemingly endless run of bad luck, bad decisions and bad crashes, the nation’s fourth biggest defense contractor still finds government coming to its financial rescue. It helps being too big to fail and absolutely vital to the NATO Alliance. Read Full Story

Which commercial aircraft company makes better planes and which represents a better investment? Our analyst sorts out facts, fiction and legend surrounding the stocks, options and investment prospects of the two companies. Read Full Story

Dr. Jim Schultz, an internet legend when it comes to turning complicated trading concepts into actionable everyday skills, offers this episode from his popular Jim’s Crash Course YouTube series. In this segment, Dr. Schultz patiently explains options trading to beginners. Need more convincing that you can finally learn to trade options? Get started by reading the comments first. 

With this week’s market pullback and a rise in volatility, our friends at Cherry Picks offer two timely trade ideas and review the history of the S&P 500’s performance during election years.

We’re always on the lookout for an investible new trend. So, reports that the price of pineapples had skyrocketed because of production problems caught our interest. Then we glimpsed Del Monte’s new $400 Rubyglow pineapple. But we weren’t ready for what we found down the pineapple rabbit hole. It appears pineapple emojis are proxies for sex. Position a real one upside down in a shopping cart in Spain, and it signals you’re looking for a partner. Putting one on a porch is a mark of the polyamorous. Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) is the market leader for pineapple sales in America. FDP stock is up 50% over the past 60 days.

Correlation, or causation?

As a whistleblower brings the Quiet Skies Program to the headlines, we look at what else the TSA is keeping off of commercial flights and at what cost to taxpayers.

Read Full Story

Are you ready for some football? The season kicks off with a Chiefs-Ravens matchup beginning at 8:20 p.m. EDT. It’s the first of 272 games—17 each for 32 teams. And by combining broadcast, streaming and cable, you can see a lot of them. If you know where to look. Read Full Story

An unlikely indie country rocker is garnering attention from the likes of Rolling Stone and The New York Times, which have dubbed him "indie rock's guitar hero." On his fourth studio album Manning Fireworks, dropping tomorrow, MJ Lenderman recalls a range of iconic rock influences from Jimi Hendrix and Sonic Youth to Neil Young’s Crazy Horse. Read Full Story

Failure to Launch? Bet on It. 🚀

For insight into the negative sentiment surrounding Boeing, take a look at Kalshi, the events prediction market platform. A Kalshi spokesperson believes their markets are telling “a story about two aerospace companies [Boeing and SpaceX] on vastly different trajectories.” Kalshi’s prediction market traders seem bearish on the probabilities of Boeing-assisted NASA space initiatives, while decidedly bullish on pending SpaceX launches. For example, traders assess the probability of a 2026 NASA moon landing (originally scheduled for 2025 and then pushed back) at 10%. Boeing is heavily involved in that effort. But traders on the same platform have high (70%) expectations that SpaceX will end this year with more than 130 launches. While SpaceX launched only 98 rockets last year, it has already launched 85 this year through August.

No, Likes 👍 Don't Cause Spikes ⬆️

What do mobsters and traders have in common? Besides a keen fashion sense, it's the motto “nobody knows nothin’.” So imagine my delight when I came across this article on how social media is driving the returns in the stock market.

The author, George Kailas, starts with his version of lazy college paper writing: “There are around 8 billion people in the world. Of them, approximately 5 billion use social media. (Wow, is this eligible for a Pulitzer?) It should come as no surprise social media has the power to move markets.” He then smashes a bunch of arguments together to suggest meme stocks, price surges and customer boycotts are all because of social media.

I’m not buying it. There's a load of research on the topic, but the gist is simple: Stock prices tend to revert to their mean after significant deviations, particularly over longer time frames. Can a tweet cause a temporary spike or drop in a stock’s price? Absolutely! Should this be the basis of your trading decisions? Hell, no.

Beware of financial "gurus" who write articles solely for clicks, and whose bios state they started at a hedge fund at 17. They just curve fit cherry-picked data to fit their opinions.

                                                                                             —Vonetta Logan

More Cowbell

The case for legal betting markets on political outcomes.

A ranking of the NFL’s most valuable teams. 
Fred Tomczyk, Cboe CEO to keynote at Barclays (9/9). 
Five reasons why traders should be wary of September. 
Musk forecasts humanoid robot demand: 20 billion units. 
Sosnoff and Ratigan ranting about free speech is priceless. 
Working Americans are more afraid of retirement than death. 
Are Nvidia traders really nothing more than gamblers? 

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